iShares Silver Trust (SLV) — The Transparent Read
38/100Cautiously Bearish$53.47 · mixed
The chart reads mixed. Composite score lands at 38/100 — cautiously bearish. History agrees about 67% of the time in falling inflation + steady fed regimes like today. Treat this as a read, not a guarantee.
SLV key levels
Show Your Work — every point in SLV's score
The score starts at 50, then each signal below adds or subtracts points. No black box.
| Signal | Type | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Below 200-day MA Price is below its 200-day average — long-term trend is down. | technical | -8 |
| Below 50-day MA Trading below the 50-day average — medium-term momentum is weak. | technical | -5 |
| Golden cross 50-day average is above the 200-day (golden cross). | technical | +4 |
| RSI neutral RSI is 33 — neither overbought nor oversold. | technical | -1.68 |
| MACD negative MACD is below its signal line — momentum is fading. | technical | -5 |
| Macro regime base rate In 33 past periods like today (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), this stock was higher 90d later 67% of the time (median +5.8%). Historically favorable. | macro | +3.33 |
Macro regime base rate
Today's regime: Falling inflation + Steady Fed
In 33 past periods that looked like today, SLV was higher 90 days later 67% of the time (median move 5.8%). Confidence: high.
The read
SLV: Cautiously Bearish (38/100)
Bull case. 50-day average is above the 200-day (golden cross). In 33 past periods like today (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), this stock was higher 90d later 67% of the time (median +5.8%). Historically favorable.
Bear case. Price is below its 200-day average — long-term trend is down. Trading below the 50-day average — medium-term momentum is weak.
What would change my mind. A decisive close below $50.31 flips the near-term read bearish; a break above $69.03 would confirm the bullish case.
SLV — frequently asked
Is SLV a buy according to Tallyread?
Tallyread does not give buy or sell recommendations. It shows a transparent 38/100 read for iShares Silver Trust (SLV), conditioned on today's macro regime, with every scoring input itemized so you can judge for yourself. This is not financial advice.
How is SLV's Tallyread score calculated?
The 38/100 score starts at 50, then adds and subtracts named technical and macro signals — each shown with its point value and a one-line reason in the "Show Your Work" table on this page. Nothing is hidden in a black box.
How does today's Fed-and-inflation regime affect SLV?
In 33 past periods whose macro regime matched today's (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), SLV was higher 90 days later 67% of the time, with a median move of 5.8%. Confidence: high.
Want a fresh read on SLV with the live chart and macro tape?
Run a live SLV read →Last analyzed 2026-07-01 · Data source: tiingo. See the public scorecard and methodology.
This is a historical and technical read for informational and educational purposes only — not financial advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell SLV. Markets are uncertain; do your own research.