Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) — The Transparent Read
65/100Cautiously Bullish$686.81 · uptrend
The chart reads uptrend. Composite score lands at 65/100 — cautiously bullish. History agrees about 82% of the time in falling inflation + steady fed regimes like today. Treat this as a read, not a guarantee.
VOO key levels
Show Your Work — every point in VOO's score
The score starts at 50, then each signal below adds or subtracts points. No black box.
| Signal | Type | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Above 200-day MA Price is above its 200-day average — long-term trend is up. | technical | +8 |
| Above 50-day MA Trading above the 50-day average — medium-term momentum is positive. | technical | +5 |
| Golden cross 50-day average is above the 200-day (golden cross). | technical | +4 |
| RSI neutral RSI is 56 — neither overbought nor oversold. | technical | +0.61 |
| MACD negative MACD is below its signal line — momentum is fading. | technical | -5 |
| Near resistance Pressing against resistance around $697.11. | technical | -4 |
| Macro regime base rate In 33 past periods like today (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), this stock was higher 90d later 82% of the time (median +3.0%). Historically favorable. | macro | +6.36 |
Macro regime base rate
Today's regime: Falling inflation + Steady Fed
In 33 past periods that looked like today, VOO was higher 90 days later 82% of the time (median move 3.0%). Confidence: high.
The read
VOO: Cautiously Bullish (65/100)
Bull case. Price is above its 200-day average — long-term trend is up. Trading above the 50-day average — medium-term momentum is positive.
Bear case. MACD is below its signal line — momentum is fading. Pressing against resistance around $697.11.
What would change my mind. A decisive close below $662.38 flips the near-term read bearish; a break above $697.11 would confirm the bullish case.
VOO — frequently asked
Is VOO a buy according to Tallyread?
Tallyread does not give buy or sell recommendations. It shows a transparent 65/100 read for Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), conditioned on today's macro regime, with every scoring input itemized so you can judge for yourself. This is not financial advice.
How is VOO's Tallyread score calculated?
The 65/100 score starts at 50, then adds and subtracts named technical and macro signals — each shown with its point value and a one-line reason in the "Show Your Work" table on this page. Nothing is hidden in a black box.
How does today's Fed-and-inflation regime affect VOO?
In 33 past periods whose macro regime matched today's (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), VOO was higher 90 days later 82% of the time, with a median move of 3.0%. Confidence: high.
Want a fresh read on VOO with the live chart and macro tape?
Run a live VOO read →Last analyzed 2026-07-01 · Data source: tiingo. See the public scorecard and methodology.
This is a historical and technical read for informational and educational purposes only — not financial advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell VOO. Markets are uncertain; do your own research.