PepsiCo (PEP) — The Transparent Read
30/100Bearish$141.16 · downtrend
The chart reads downtrend. Composite score lands at 30/100 — bearish. History agrees about 61% of the time in falling inflation + steady fed regimes like today. Treat this as a read, not a guarantee.
PEP key levels
Show Your Work — every point in PEP's score
The score starts at 50, then each signal below adds or subtracts points. No black box.
| Signal | Type | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Below 200-day MA Price is below its 200-day average — long-term trend is down. | technical | -8 |
| Below 50-day MA Trading below the 50-day average — medium-term momentum is weak. | technical | -5 |
| Death cross 50-day average is below the 200-day (death cross). | technical | -4 |
| RSI neutral RSI is 47 — neither overbought nor oversold. | technical | -0.33 |
| MACD negative MACD is below its signal line — momentum is fading. | technical | -5 |
| Macro regime base rate In 33 past periods like today (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), this stock was higher 90d later 61% of the time (median +1.8%). Historically favorable. | macro | +2.12 |
Macro regime base rate
Today's regime: Falling inflation + Steady Fed
In 33 past periods that looked like today, PEP was higher 90 days later 61% of the time (median move 1.8%). Confidence: high.
The read
PEP: Bearish (30/100)
Bull case. In 33 past periods like today (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), this stock was higher 90d later 61% of the time (median +1.8%). Historically favorable.
Bear case. Price is below its 200-day average — long-term trend is down. Trading below the 50-day average — medium-term momentum is weak.
What would change my mind. A decisive close below $134.94 flips the near-term read bearish; a break above $147.64 would confirm the bullish case.
PEP — frequently asked
Is PEP a buy according to Tallyread?
Tallyread does not give buy or sell recommendations. It shows a transparent 30/100 read for PepsiCo (PEP), conditioned on today's macro regime, with every scoring input itemized so you can judge for yourself. This is not financial advice.
How is PEP's Tallyread score calculated?
The 30/100 score starts at 50, then adds and subtracts named technical and macro signals — each shown with its point value and a one-line reason in the "Show Your Work" table on this page. Nothing is hidden in a black box.
How does today's Fed-and-inflation regime affect PEP?
In 33 past periods whose macro regime matched today's (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), PEP was higher 90 days later 61% of the time, with a median move of 1.8%. Confidence: high.
Want a fresh read on PEP with the live chart and macro tape?
Run a live PEP read →Last analyzed 2026-07-01 · Data source: tiingo. See the public scorecard and methodology.
This is a historical and technical read for informational and educational purposes only — not financial advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell PEP. Markets are uncertain; do your own research.