ON Semiconductor (ON) — The Transparent Read
50/100Neutral$94.63 · mixed
The chart reads mixed. Composite score lands at 50/100 — neutral. History agrees about 45% of the time in falling inflation + steady fed regimes like today. Treat this as a read, not a guarantee.
ON key levels
Show Your Work — every point in ON's score
The score starts at 50, then each signal below adds or subtracts points. No black box.
| Signal | Type | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Above 200-day MA Price is above its 200-day average — long-term trend is up. | technical | +8 |
| Below 50-day MA Trading below the 50-day average — medium-term momentum is weak. | technical | -5 |
| Golden cross 50-day average is above the 200-day (golden cross). | technical | +4 |
| RSI neutral RSI is 40 — neither overbought nor oversold. | technical | -0.95 |
| MACD negative MACD is below its signal line — momentum is fading. | technical | -5 |
| Macro regime base rate In 33 past periods like today (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), this stock was higher 90d later 45% of the time (median -2.1%). Historically unfavorable. | macro | -0.91 |
Macro regime base rate
Today's regime: Falling inflation + Steady Fed
In 33 past periods that looked like today, ON was higher 90 days later 46% of the time (median move -2.1%). Confidence: high.
The read
ON: Neutral (50/100)
Bull case. Price is above its 200-day average — long-term trend is up. 50-day average is above the 200-day (golden cross).
Bear case. Trading below the 50-day average — medium-term momentum is weak. RSI is 40 — neither overbought nor oversold.
What would change my mind. A decisive close below $86.47 flips the near-term read bearish; a break above $134.92 would confirm the bullish case.
ON — frequently asked
Is ON a buy according to Tallyread?
Tallyread does not give buy or sell recommendations. It shows a transparent 50/100 read for ON Semiconductor (ON), conditioned on today's macro regime, with every scoring input itemized so you can judge for yourself. This is not financial advice.
How is ON's Tallyread score calculated?
The 50/100 score starts at 50, then adds and subtracts named technical and macro signals — each shown with its point value and a one-line reason in the "Show Your Work" table on this page. Nothing is hidden in a black box.
How does today's Fed-and-inflation regime affect ON?
In 33 past periods whose macro regime matched today's (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), ON was higher 90 days later 46% of the time, with a median move of -2.1%. Confidence: high.
Want a fresh read on ON with the live chart and macro tape?
Run a live ON read →Last analyzed 2026-07-02 · Data source: tiingo. See the public scorecard and methodology.
This is a historical and technical read for informational and educational purposes only — not financial advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell ON. Markets are uncertain; do your own research.