Texas Instruments (TXN) — The Transparent Read
57/100Neutral$285.48 · mixed
This is a fundamentally constructive name working through a soft patch. The long-term picture — above the 200-day, golden cross, favorable macro base rate — outweighs the short-term wobble of a sub-50-day price and negative MACD. My lean is cautiously bullish, but patient: I'd rather see momentum stabilize near the $273.88 support shelf than chase. The data favors higher prices over the next quarter, but the medium-term momentum signals say don't expect a straight-line move yet.
TXN key levels
Show Your Work — every point in TXN's score
The score starts at 50, then each signal below adds or subtracts points. No black box.
| Signal | Type | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Above 200-day MA Price is above its 200-day average — long-term trend is up. | technical | +8 |
| Below 50-day MA Trading below the 50-day average — medium-term momentum is weak. | technical | -5 |
| Golden cross 50-day average is above the 200-day (golden cross). | technical | +4 |
| RSI neutral RSI is 45 — neither overbought nor oversold. | technical | -0.53 |
| MACD negative MACD is below its signal line — momentum is fading. | technical | -5 |
| Macro regime base rate In 38 past periods like today (Rising inflation + Steady Fed), this stock was higher 90d later 76% of the time (median +6.3%). Historically favorable. | macro | +5.26 |
Macro regime base rate
Today's regime: Rising inflation + Steady Fed
In 38 past periods that looked like today, TXN was higher 90 days later 76% of the time (median move 6.3%). Confidence: high.
The read
TXN: Long-Term Trend Intact, But Momentum Is Catching Its Breath
Bull case. The structural story is strong. TXN trades well above its 200-day MA at $212.16, and a golden cross is in place — the 50-day sits above the 200-day, confirming the long-term uptrend. The macro backdrop is a tailwind: in 38 analogous periods of rising inflation with a steady Fed, the stock was higher 90 days later 76% of the time, with a median gain of +6.3% (high confidence). RSI at 45 is neutral, leaving plenty of room to run before anything looks stretched. With composite at 56.7, the dip toward support near $273.88 could be a chance to buy a healthy trend on weakness.
Bear case. Near-term momentum is clearly fading. Price sits below its 50-day MA at $291.65, signaling weak medium-term momentum, and the MACD histogram is negative at -3.22 with MACD below its signal line. The trend label here is 'mixed' for a reason — there's no upside thrust right now. If $273.88 support cracks, there's open air below with resistance way up at $334.03 capping any rebound. The neutral 56.7 composite tells you this isn't a high-conviction setup yet.
What would change my mind. A decisive break and close below the $273.88 support level would invalidate the constructive read — that would shift the medium-term weakness into a structural problem and put the long-term uptrend at risk. On the upside, a reclaim of the $291.65 50-day MA with the MACD histogram turning positive would confirm momentum has flipped back in the bulls' favor.
TXN — frequently asked
Is TXN a buy according to Tallyread?
Tallyread does not give buy or sell recommendations. It shows a transparent 57/100 read for Texas Instruments (TXN), conditioned on today's macro regime, with every scoring input itemized so you can judge for yourself. This is not financial advice.
How is TXN's Tallyread score calculated?
The 57/100 score starts at 50, then adds and subtracts named technical and macro signals — each shown with its point value and a one-line reason in the "Show Your Work" table on this page. Nothing is hidden in a black box.
How does today's Fed-and-inflation regime affect TXN?
In 38 past periods whose macro regime matched today's (Rising inflation + Steady Fed), TXN was higher 90 days later 76% of the time, with a median move of 6.3%. Confidence: high.
Want a fresh read on TXN with the live chart and macro tape?
Run a live TXN read →Last analyzed 2026-06-30 · Data source: tiingo. See the public scorecard and methodology.
This is a historical and technical read for informational and educational purposes only — not financial advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell TXN. Markets are uncertain; do your own research.