United Airlines (UAL) — The Transparent Read
66/100Cautiously Bullish$135.99 · uptrend
The chart reads uptrend. Composite score lands at 66/100 — cautiously bullish. History agrees about 70% of the time in falling inflation + steady fed regimes like today. Treat this as a read, not a guarantee.
UAL key levels
Show Your Work — every point in UAL's score
The score starts at 50, then each signal below adds or subtracts points. No black box.
| Signal | Type | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Above 200-day MA Price is above its 200-day average — long-term trend is up. | technical | +8 |
| Above 50-day MA Trading above the 50-day average — medium-term momentum is positive. | technical | +5 |
| Golden cross 50-day average is above the 200-day (golden cross). | technical | +4 |
| RSI overbought RSI is 74 — overbought, near-term pullback risk. | technical | -6 |
| MACD positive MACD is above its signal line — momentum is building. | technical | +5 |
| Near resistance Pressing against resistance around $138.77. | technical | -4 |
| Macro regime base rate In 33 past periods like today (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), this stock was higher 90d later 70% of the time (median +4.4%). Historically favorable. | macro | +3.94 |
Macro regime base rate
Today's regime: Falling inflation + Steady Fed
In 33 past periods that looked like today, UAL was higher 90 days later 70% of the time (median move 4.4%). Confidence: high.
The read
UAL: Cautiously Bullish (66/100)
Bull case. Price is above its 200-day average — long-term trend is up. Trading above the 50-day average — medium-term momentum is positive.
Bear case. RSI is 74 — overbought, near-term pullback risk. Pressing against resistance around $138.77.
What would change my mind. A decisive close below $101.77 flips the near-term read bearish; a break above $138.77 would confirm the bullish case.
UAL — frequently asked
Is UAL a buy according to Tallyread?
Tallyread does not give buy or sell recommendations. It shows a transparent 66/100 read for United Airlines (UAL), conditioned on today's macro regime, with every scoring input itemized so you can judge for yourself. This is not financial advice.
How is UAL's Tallyread score calculated?
The 66/100 score starts at 50, then adds and subtracts named technical and macro signals — each shown with its point value and a one-line reason in the "Show Your Work" table on this page. Nothing is hidden in a black box.
How does today's Fed-and-inflation regime affect UAL?
In 33 past periods whose macro regime matched today's (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), UAL was higher 90 days later 70% of the time, with a median move of 4.4%. Confidence: high.
Want a fresh read on UAL with the live chart and macro tape?
Run a live UAL read →Last analyzed 2026-07-01 · Data source: tiingo. See the public scorecard and methodology.
This is a historical and technical read for informational and educational purposes only — not financial advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell UAL. Markets are uncertain; do your own research.