The Trade Desk (TTD) — The Transparent Read
42/100Cautiously Bearish$19.15 · downtrend
The chart reads downtrend. Composite score lands at 42/100 — cautiously bearish. History agrees about 72% of the time in falling inflation + steady fed regimes like today. Treat this as a read, not a guarantee.
TTD key levels
Show Your Work — every point in TTD's score
The score starts at 50, then each signal below adds or subtracts points. No black box.
| Signal | Type | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Below 200-day MA Price is below its 200-day average — long-term trend is down. | technical | -8 |
| Below 50-day MA Trading below the 50-day average — medium-term momentum is weak. | technical | -5 |
| Death cross 50-day average is below the 200-day (death cross). | technical | -4 |
| RSI neutral RSI is 48 — neither overbought nor oversold. | technical | -0.20 |
| MACD positive MACD is above its signal line — momentum is building. | technical | +5 |
| Macro regime base rate In 18 past periods like today (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), this stock was higher 90d later 72% of the time (median +12.0%). Historically favorable. | macro | +4.44 |
Macro regime base rate
Today's regime: Falling inflation + Steady Fed
In 18 past periods that looked like today, TTD was higher 90 days later 72% of the time (median move 12.0%). Confidence: high.
The read
TTD: Cautiously Bearish (42/100)
Bull case. MACD is above its signal line — momentum is building. In 18 past periods like today (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), this stock was higher 90d later 72% of the time (median +12.0%). Historically favorable.
Bear case. Price is below its 200-day average — long-term trend is down. Trading below the 50-day average — medium-term momentum is weak.
What would change my mind. A decisive close below $16.98 flips the near-term read bearish; a break above $21.91 would confirm the bullish case.
TTD — frequently asked
Is TTD a buy according to Tallyread?
Tallyread does not give buy or sell recommendations. It shows a transparent 42/100 read for The Trade Desk (TTD), conditioned on today's macro regime, with every scoring input itemized so you can judge for yourself. This is not financial advice.
How is TTD's Tallyread score calculated?
The 42/100 score starts at 50, then adds and subtracts named technical and macro signals — each shown with its point value and a one-line reason in the "Show Your Work" table on this page. Nothing is hidden in a black box.
How does today's Fed-and-inflation regime affect TTD?
In 18 past periods whose macro regime matched today's (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), TTD was higher 90 days later 72% of the time, with a median move of 12.0%. Confidence: high.
Want a fresh read on TTD with the live chart and macro tape?
Run a live TTD read →Last analyzed 2026-07-01 · Data source: tiingo. See the public scorecard and methodology.
This is a historical and technical read for informational and educational purposes only — not financial advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell TTD. Markets are uncertain; do your own research.