AT&T (T) — The Transparent Read
43/100Cautiously Bearish$20.70 · downtrend
The chart reads downtrend. Composite score lands at 42/100 — cautiously bearish. History agrees about 73% of the time in falling inflation + steady fed regimes like today. Treat this as a read, not a guarantee.
T key levels
Show Your Work — every point in T's score
The score starts at 50, then each signal below adds or subtracts points. No black box.
| Signal | Type | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Below 200-day MA Price is below its 200-day average — long-term trend is down. | technical | -8 |
| Below 50-day MA Trading below the 50-day average — medium-term momentum is weak. | technical | -5 |
| Death cross 50-day average is below the 200-day (death cross). | technical | -4 |
| RSI oversold RSI is 28 — oversold, potential for a bounce. | technical | +6 |
| MACD negative MACD is below its signal line — momentum is fading. | technical | -5 |
| Near support Holding near support around $20.57. | technical | +4 |
| Macro regime base rate In 33 past periods like today (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), this stock was higher 90d later 73% of the time (median +7.1%). Historically favorable. | macro | +4.55 |
Macro regime base rate
Today's regime: Falling inflation + Steady Fed
In 33 past periods that looked like today, T was higher 90 days later 73% of the time (median move 7.1%). Confidence: high.
The read
T: Cautiously Bearish (42/100)
Bull case. RSI is 28 — oversold, potential for a bounce. Holding near support around $20.57.
Bear case. Price is below its 200-day average — long-term trend is down. Trading below the 50-day average — medium-term momentum is weak.
What would change my mind. A decisive close below $20.57 flips the near-term read bearish; a break above $24.71 would confirm the bullish case.
T — frequently asked
Is T a buy according to Tallyread?
Tallyread does not give buy or sell recommendations. It shows a transparent 43/100 read for AT&T (T), conditioned on today's macro regime, with every scoring input itemized so you can judge for yourself. This is not financial advice.
How is T's Tallyread score calculated?
The 43/100 score starts at 50, then adds and subtracts named technical and macro signals — each shown with its point value and a one-line reason in the "Show Your Work" table on this page. Nothing is hidden in a black box.
How does today's Fed-and-inflation regime affect T?
In 33 past periods whose macro regime matched today's (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), T was higher 90 days later 73% of the time, with a median move of 7.1%. Confidence: high.
Want a fresh read on T with the live chart and macro tape?
Run a live T read →Last analyzed 2026-07-01 · Data source: tiingo. See the public scorecard and methodology.
This is a historical and technical read for informational and educational purposes only — not financial advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell T. Markets are uncertain; do your own research.