AppLovin (APP) — The Transparent Read
48/100Neutral$515.23 · mixed
The chart reads mixed. Composite score lands at 48/100 — neutral. History agrees about 100% of the time in falling inflation + steady fed regimes like today. Treat this as a read, not a guarantee.
APP key levels
Show Your Work — every point in APP's score
The score starts at 50, then each signal below adds or subtracts points. No black box.
| Signal | Type | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Below 200-day MA Price is below its 200-day average — long-term trend is down. | technical | -8 |
| Above 50-day MA Trading above the 50-day average — medium-term momentum is positive. | technical | +5 |
| Death cross 50-day average is below the 200-day (death cross). | technical | -4 |
| RSI neutral RSI is 54 — neither overbought nor oversold. | technical | +0.38 |
| MACD negative MACD is below its signal line — momentum is fading. | technical | -5 |
| Macro regime base rate In 12 past periods like today (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), this stock was higher 90d later 100% of the time (median +64.2%). Historically favorable. | macro | +10 |
Macro regime base rate
Today's regime: Falling inflation + Steady Fed
In 12 past periods that looked like today, APP was higher 90 days later 100% of the time (median move 64.2%). Confidence: high.
The read
APP: Neutral (48/100)
Bull case. Trading above the 50-day average — medium-term momentum is positive. RSI is 54 — neither overbought nor oversold.
Bear case. Price is below its 200-day average — long-term trend is down. 50-day average is below the 200-day (death cross).
What would change my mind. A decisive close below $418.46 flips the near-term read bearish; a break above $617.00 would confirm the bullish case.
APP — frequently asked
Is APP a buy according to Tallyread?
Tallyread does not give buy or sell recommendations. It shows a transparent 48/100 read for AppLovin (APP), conditioned on today's macro regime, with every scoring input itemized so you can judge for yourself. This is not financial advice.
How is APP's Tallyread score calculated?
The 48/100 score starts at 50, then adds and subtracts named technical and macro signals — each shown with its point value and a one-line reason in the "Show Your Work" table on this page. Nothing is hidden in a black box.
How does today's Fed-and-inflation regime affect APP?
In 12 past periods whose macro regime matched today's (Falling inflation + Steady Fed), APP was higher 90 days later 100% of the time, with a median move of 64.2%. Confidence: high.
Want a fresh read on APP with the live chart and macro tape?
Run a live APP read →Last analyzed 2026-07-01 · Data source: tiingo. See the public scorecard and methodology.
This is a historical and technical read for informational and educational purposes only — not financial advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell APP. Markets are uncertain; do your own research.